Ua lohi ka mākeke no Citrus aurantium i nā makahiki ʻelua i hala iho nei, me ka hāʻule ʻana o nā kumukūʻai i ka haʻahaʻa loa i nā makahiki he ʻumi i hala ma mua o ka hana hou ʻana ma 2024. Ma hope o ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka hana hou i ka hopena o Mei, e like me ka laha ʻana o ka nūhou o ka ʻoki ʻana, ka mākeke. piʻi wikiwiki, me ka piʻi ʻana ma mua o 60% i loko o kekahi mau lā.Kūleʻa nui nā mea kālepa, a ʻaʻohe hana o ka mākeke.Hoʻopili ʻia ka mākeke e nā mea kālepa a me ka mana kūʻai o nā kālā.
Ka hana makeke ocitrus Aurantiii nā makahiki ʻelua i hala iho nei ʻaʻole i manaʻo maikaʻi, a ke emi mālie nei ke kumukūʻai.ʻO ka poʻe kālepa e hoʻolako ana i nā waiwai e holo wikiwiki e hiki ke loaʻa i ke kumukūʻai waena, a mālama ʻia nā waiwai nui no ka manawa lōʻihi.I ka hopena, ʻAʻohe kumu waiwai, a he nui nā poho.
I ka waena o Mei, ua komo ka wahi hana nui o Hunan i kahi kau hana hou.I kēlā manawa, ua palahalaha ka mākeke no ka citrus aurantium.Ma ka hopena o ka lā 24, ʻo ke kumukūʻai o 1.0-2.0 lime citrus aurantium aia nō ma waena o 31-32RMB, akā I ka hopena o Mei a me ka hoʻomaka ʻana o Iune, e like me ka hoʻolako ʻana i nā waiwai, ua hoʻomaka ka mākeke e piʻi nui.Ma ka lā 5 o Iune, ua hōʻea ka ʻōlelo mai kahi i hānau ʻia ai i ka 47RMB, i hoʻonui ʻia e RMB15 yuan ma kahi o ʻumi mau lā.He mea i manaʻo ʻole ʻia.No ke ahacitrus Aurantiihana ʻia i kēia makahiki?Aia kekahi ʻokoʻa nui ma waena o nā kūlana mākeke ma mua a ma hope o ka makahiki hou?
1. I nā makahiki i hala iho nei, ua hāʻule nā kumukūʻai hōʻiliʻili waihona i ka pae haʻahaʻa loa i nā makahiki he ʻumi i hala.
ʻO Citrus aurantium ke kumu kūʻai kiʻekiʻe o RMB90 yuan ma ka mōʻaukala (ma 2016), a ma kahi o RMB80 yuan ma mua o ka hana hou ma 2017-2018.Ma hope o ka hana hou ma 2018, ua iho ka mākeke, i RMB35 yuan ma 2020, a hoʻi hou i RMB55 yuan i 2021 ma muli o ka hoʻemi ʻana o ka hana.Ke mau nei a hiki i 2022, ua maʻamau ka hoʻopuka ma 2022-2023, hōʻiliʻili ʻia ka waihona, a ua emi iki ka mākeke.A hiki i ka hana hou ma 2024, ua hāʻule ke kumukūʻai ma ka wahi hana ma lalo o RMB30 yuan, a hiki i ka haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa i nā makahiki i hala.
2. I kēia mau lā, ua piʻi wikiwiki ka nui o nā mea kālepa e kūʻai ana i nā waiwai mai nā wahi hana hou, a ua piʻi wikiwiki ka mākeke.
Ma mua o ka hoʻomaka ʻana o nā huahana hou i Mei o kēia makahiki, ʻaʻole i hoʻololi ʻo Citrus aurantium i kona mokuʻāina sluggish mākeke, a ua mau ka nāwaliwali o ka mākeke.Manaʻo ka hapa nui o nā mea kūʻai aku e hoʻonui hou ʻia ka mākeke ma muli o ka Citrus aurantium i lawa ka nui o nā huahana i loaʻa a e loaʻa koke nā huahana hou.He mea paʻakikī ke ʻike i nā hopena maikaʻi inā nui ka mākeke, akā ʻo ka mea i manaʻo ʻole ʻia ma ka hopena o Mei, i ka hoʻomau ʻana o ka hana hou, ua piʻi koke ka nui o nā mea kālepa e kūʻai ana i nā waiwai mai ke kumu mai, a ua lilo koke ka lako o nā waiwai. maʻalahi.Ke hoʻomau nei ka piʻi ʻana o ka nui o ke kālepa, ua hoʻomaka ka mākeke i kahi ʻano maikaʻi.Ke piʻi mau nei, i kēia manawa ua hiki i ka RMB 51-53 ke kumukūʻai noi o 1.0-2.0 lime citrus aurantium pōpō i hana ʻia ma Hunan Yuanjiang i RMB 51-53, a ua kokoke ka hapalua a me ka hapalua i RMB50 yuan.Ke hoʻohālikelikeʻia me ka mahina i hala aku nei, ua hoʻonuiʻia ke kumukūʻai ma mua o 60RMB i loko o nā lā heʻumikumamālua wale nō, hiki ke ho'ākākaʻia e like me ka piʻiʻana o ka skyrocketing.
3. No ke aha he ʻokoʻa nui i nā kūlana mākeke ma mua a ma hope o ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka huahana hou o kēia makahiki?
No ke ahacitrus Aurantii'skūʻai mālie ma mua o ka hoʻomaka ʻana o kāna huahana hou?Ua haʻahaʻa ka kaulana o Citrus aurantium i nā makahiki ʻelua i hala.Eia kekahi, ʻo nā kumulāʻau hua i kanu ʻia i ka wā kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe i nā makahiki i hala aku nei i loko o ka wā hua i nā makahiki i hala.Me ka maʻamau o ke aniau, ua hoʻomau ka hoʻopuka i ka paʻa i nā makahiki i hala.Eia kekahi, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ke kūʻai aku ʻana o Citrus aurantium i nā makahiki i hala.Hoʻohui ʻia me ka mana o nā ʻano citrus aurantium ma nā wahi like ʻole a me ka hōʻiliʻili ʻana o ka waihona, ke emi nei ke kumukūʻai mākeke o ka citrus aurantium i kēlā me kēia makahiki, a ua alakaʻi hou i ka emi ʻana o ka hilinaʻi ʻoihana o nā mea kālepa ma ke kumu.Eia kekahi, ʻoiai e loaʻa ana ka hau hau ma nā wahi hana nui o Hunan a me Jiangxi i ka makahiki 2023, a me ka ua nui i kēia makahiki, e like me ka nānā ʻana i nā wahi hana, ʻo ka wā pua o kēia makahiki he mea maʻamau, a manaʻo nā mea āpau aia. ʻAʻole ia he hoʻololi nui i ka huahana i kēia makahiki, no laila ke nānā nei nā mea kālepa mua ʻAʻole i kiʻekiʻe.ʻOiai inā he haʻahaʻa ke kumu kūʻai ma kahi o ke kumu, ʻaʻole ia i huki i ka manaʻo kūikawā mai nā mea a pau.
No ke aha i wikiwiki ai ka neʻe ʻana o ka lako a piʻi wikiwiki ka mākeke ma hope o ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka hana hou?ʻOiai ʻo ka wā pua o ka citrus aurantium ma nā wahi hana nui o Hunan a me Jiangxi i kēia makahiki he mea maʻamau, i ka wā hoʻonohonoho hua hope, ʻoi aku ma hope o ka wā ohi, ʻike maoli ʻia ʻaʻole maikaʻi ka hoʻonohonoho ʻana o ka hua e like me ka mea i manaʻo ʻia. .I kēia manawa, ua emi nā wahi hana i ka hana.Ua hoʻomaka ka hoʻolaha ʻana o ka nūhou, a ua hōʻike ʻia kekahi mau wahi me ka hōʻemi ʻana i ka hana ma kahi o 40%!I ka maopopo ʻana o ke kūlana, hoʻomaka ka neʻe ʻana o ka hoʻolako ʻana i ka wahi hana e wikiwiki mālie ma hope o ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka hana hou i ka waena o Mei.Eia naʻe, i kēia manawa, ʻo ka hapa nui o nā mea kūʻai aku he mau waiwai kahiko, a ua ʻoi aku ka ikaika o nā mea kālepa me nā lako lako i ke kūʻai aku, kūʻai aku i nā waiwai kahiko a hoʻomākaukau e loaʻa i nā waiwai hou.No laila, I kēia manawa, ʻaʻohe loli i ʻike ʻia ma ka mākeke.Ma ka hopena o Mei, i ka wā i hana mālie ʻia ai nā huahana hou i nā pūʻulu, ua loaʻa i nā wahi hana nā kūʻai nui mai nā mea kālepa Anguo, a ua hoʻomau ʻia ka piʻi ʻana o ka nui o nā waiwai.ʻOiai ʻoi aku ka nui o ka hoʻolako ʻana i nā waiwai hou ma mua o ka noi, ka wahi hana Ke piʻi nei nā kumukūʻai o ka mākeke ma ka apana i kēlā me kēia lā.I kēia mau lā, aia kekahi hanana i nā wahi hana i makemake ʻole ka poʻe i loaʻa ka waiwai e kūʻai aku iā lākou, ʻoiai ʻo ka poʻe makemake i nā waiwai e makemake nui ana e kūʻai.Ma muli o ke kūʻai wela, ke holo wikiwiki nei nā hale hana i nā wahi hana e hōʻiliʻili i nā waiwai hou, a ua piʻi pū ke kumukūʻai o nā hua i kahi kiʻekiʻe o RMB12yuan / kilo.
Ma waho aʻe o nā wahi hana nui o Hunan a me Jiangxi, ua hōʻike pū nā wahi sub-production e like me Sichuan, Chongqing, a me Yunnan i ka hoʻemi nui ʻana i kēia makahiki, a ua hāʻule nui ka nui o nā waiwai i loaʻa i nā mea kūʻai aku ma nā wahi he nui i ka hoʻohālikelike ʻia me nā makahiki i hala.
ʻO ka mea maʻamau, ʻo ke kumukūʻai o Citrus aurantium ma ke kumu kūʻai haʻahaʻa loa i nā makahiki he ʻumi i hala.Ke ulu nei ka mākeke lāʻau lapaʻau Kina i nā makahiki ʻelua i hala.I kēia manawa ua ʻike hou ʻo ia i nā ʻoki hana.Ua hoʻonui ka manaʻo o nā mea kālepa i ka wā hana hou.Ua komo nā kālā e kūkulu ikaika i nā kūlana, kahi i hoʻonui ai i ka mākeke.Piʻi wikiwiki a nui i ka wā pōkole.
4. Ka nānā 'ana i ka market outlook
Hōʻike nā mea kūʻai aku i ka papa inoa o kēia manawacitrus Aurantiinui nō naʻe, akā, ua pau ka ʻāpana hana o nā pōpō poepoe liʻiliʻi ma mua.I kēia mau lā, ua kūʻai ikaika ka poʻe kālepa Anguo i nā pōpō pōʻai liʻiliʻi ma nā wahi hana Hunan, ʻo ia ke kumu nui o ka piʻi ʻana o ka mākeke.Eia naʻe, ʻoiai inā ua nui loa ka piʻi ʻana o kēia manawa, a ʻaʻole i kūʻai aku nā mea kūʻai aku he nui i nā wahi hana.Hoʻohana nui lākou i ke kaʻa.Ma kekahi ʻaoʻao, hopohopo mau ka poʻe kālepa i ka emi ʻana o ka mākeke i nā makahiki ʻelua i hala.Ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, ua piʻi aʻe ka pilikia o ka piʻi nui ʻana i kēia manawa, a ua makaʻala pū nā mea kālepa..Ma ke ʻano o ka mākeke, ʻoiai ʻaʻole he ʻano nui ka citrus aurantium, ʻoiai ua piʻi nui nā kumukūʻai o ka mākeke ma nā wahi hana i kēia manawa, ʻaʻole ikaika loa nā kālepa mākeke, a ʻoi aku ka haʻahaʻa o ka kaulana ma mua o nā wahi hana.ʻOi aku ma muli o ke koi maoli.
No ka manaʻo o ka mākeke, ʻaʻole pono ka hāʻawi ʻana i nā huahana i ke kumu nui e pili ana i nā loli i nā kūlana citrus aurantium.ʻO ka mana kūʻai o nā mea kālepa a me nā kālā e hoʻoholo mau i kona ʻano.
Ka manawa hoʻouna: Iune-21-2024